Very difficult this week with a lot of players first up. Weather is forecast for rain and lots of it so am looking for experienced players with a solid temperament as against the young up and comers who may get frustrated with what looks like being a stop/start and long event.
Not even going to try the Win only market as nothing really jumps out to me as value although if you twisted my arm I would plump for Howell, Stricker & Els in that order.
Top 25
David Duval 1 unit @ $8.00, Sportsbet
Finally some light at the end of the tunnel for David last year as he posted some much improved performances to win his card for this year. Has reasonable figures for this and seems to play well on the Bermuda greens which will be an advantage.
Joe Durant, 1 unit @ $6.00, Sportsbet
Accurate hitter and good putter which will be needed this week. Would never back him to win only but as a top 25er seems pretty good value here
Fred Funk, 1 unit @ $11, Sportsbet
Huge odds for a guy who is a good putter and plays reasonably well in Hawaii. Hasn't missed a cut on the Seniors tour for 4 years, is extremely consistent and very experienced.
Best Australian
Nathan Green, 1 unit @ $21, Sportsbet
Since 2006, has had a 5th, T34, MC, T12 & T8 here. That's a pretty good record in my book. Also plays well in Florida. Its a fairly competitive market but you have to be at the $21 for a guy with that sort of record !!!!
Lays Top 10
Hopefully can get some money out of the younger players who may blow up this week. All to lose 1 unit.
Jason Day @ $4.50
Camilo Villegas @ $6.00
Bo Van Pelt @ $6.00
I have others in the system and will update as they get matched.
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