A lot of interest in how Tiger comes back this year and whilst I think his tee to green issues are almost fixed, its his putting that remains the big question mark. Until such time as I am completely satisfied that his touch has returned will be staying away from him.
This field is weaker than normal with all the top players preferring to remain in the desert. In fact as mentioned on my twitter last week, am strongly considering switching permanently to the Euro tour as the players at the top end are better and the courses have more nuances to them making it easier to find players who are suited.
Win
Bill Haas 1.3 units @ $40 (betfair)
Almost the form American player of the last 6-12 months and has commenced 2011 strongly with two top 10 from his two starts. Considering he has only really taken off the last year or so his record at Torrey Pines long term is good. 4 top 30s from last 6 appearances here (highest T11 last year) with only one missed cut. Has an accurate and long game which will suit here. Big odds for a player in the form he is.
Charles Howell III 0.7 units @ $34 (betfair)
Getting back to his best and this courses premium on accuracy and GIR definitely suits him. Last 6 appearances here have yielded T9, T42, T13, 2nd, T39 and 2nd so obviously loves it here. Not someone you would want to be having your last on but in this weaker field must be rated a big hope.
Top 25
Kevin Sutherland 2 units @ $4.00 (centrebet)
Ultra consistent, straight hitter who usually plays his best golf early in the season. Being from California is used to these greens and his record at Torrey Pines is good with 4 top 20s in his last six appearances here. Probably should have finished closer last week but for a last round 71 so current form is acceptable.
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