Course is expected to suit the long hitters and may play soft the opening two days suiting them even more. Greens are quite tricky so need to be in decent putting touch.
JB Holmes - 1 unit to win @ $91 (Sportsbet)
Near enough to the longest hitter on Tour and is in very good form of late. A 3rd round 77 in the PGA cost him basically a top 5 finish in that event and of his four starts prior, finished in the top 20 three times (including a T14th in the British Open). Has missed just one cut for the year so there are absoloutly no doubts on his consistency.
Aaron Baddeley - 0.6 units to win @ $280 (Betfair)
More on course suitability than form here. Hits the ball long and high and is a very good putter. Badds's main problem has been his accuracy off the tee and he may not get punished as much as he usually does on this course. Showing signs of getting back to his best on his two most recent events (although they were pitch and putt tourny's !!!) shooting 9 and 11 under respectively. Could be a bolter.
Steve Elkington - 0.6 units to win @ $190 (Betfair)
In excellent form and has been knocking the pins out. Putting was once somewhat of a weakness but he seems to have turned it into a bit of a strength lately. Not a long hitter by any means but not overly short either. His superior iron play may make up for shortcomings in that area. I'm happy to stick with him at the big price again.
Paul Casey - 2 units leading Euro @ $6.00 avge price (Betfair)
Clear top Euro rater on my figures and was almost tempted to back him to win but the price isn't great. Long hitter and excellent putter playing very well at the moment. If I had a query its that his GIR stats aren't maybe as good as they should be. However against that, there are doubts on a lot of the other Euros (putting might sort Rory out here for instance) that I am happy to back Casey.
No joy here.
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